Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 4.182112 4.972372 5.850778 6.896642 8.104888 9.453715 11.070197
2025-10-12 3.138938 4.182492 5.459473 7.124779 9.225408 11.772227 15.076997
2025-10-19 2.526489 3.698855 5.250464 7.426525 10.366830 14.164688 19.397154
2025-10-26 2.019175 3.213372 4.906221 7.433733 11.053570 15.982374 23.115661
2025-11-02 1.584932 2.726451 4.450496 7.175265 11.286323 17.150904 26.011190
2025-11-09 1.264177 2.339039 4.060610 6.926647 11.458808 18.197997 28.772735
2025-11-16 1.067985 2.110677 3.870978 6.939436 11.995101 19.787413 32.418186
2025-11-23 0.912049 1.919066 3.705577 6.956040 12.518093 21.376333 36.163286
2025-11-30 0.773381 1.730484 3.512360 6.890807 12.883955 22.728462 39.620749
2025-12-07 0.627513 1.497541 3.200524 6.569041 12.767605 23.271917 41.800341
2025-12-14 0.538382 1.362279 3.049386 6.514816 13.101319 24.571817 45.295528
2025-12-21 0.466650 1.249711 2.924279 6.489763 13.476478 25.959033 49.020517
2025-12-28 0.441058 1.239787 3.011775 6.900216 14.716030 28.978482 55.817255
2026-01-04 0.400453 1.185916 2.998267 7.104525 15.582063 31.398325 61.736203
2026-01-11 0.370895 1.153532 3.026702 7.398150 16.647724 34.256552 68.625219
2026-01-18 0.325961 1.070802 2.927341 7.403146 17.130973 36.060706 73.707703
2026-01-25 0.272526 0.951628 2.722022 7.144992 17.042531 36.764183 76.785866
2026-02-01 0.228073 0.846744 2.533225 6.897123 16.944873 37.431609 79.824368
2026-02-08 0.201933 0.790905 2.459673 6.909811 17.407941 39.233804 85.145619
2026-02-15 0.179268 0.740357 2.391627 6.926335 17.878419 41.078983 90.657386
2026-02-22 0.156544 0.683395 2.296220 6.861344 18.155225 42.540614 95.489319
2026-03-01 0.128865 0.600413 2.111607 6.540800 17.804065 42.656885 97.604861
2026-03-08 0.112847 0.555899 2.031968 6.486781 18.078189 44.119631 102.561527